Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.027167 0.029174 0.031193 0.033374 0.035661 0.037986 0.040525
2026-02-08 0.023389 0.026519 0.029785 0.033438 0.037398 0.041550 0.046223
2026-02-15 0.020912 0.024690 0.028741 0.033384 0.038537 0.044057 0.050394
2026-02-22 0.019034 0.023264 0.027906 0.033336 0.039478 0.046170 0.053975
2026-03-01 0.017322 0.021860 0.026943 0.033002 0.039969 0.047675 0.056786
2026-03-08 0.015744 0.020483 0.025898 0.032465 0.040134 0.048731 0.059021
2026-03-15 0.014191 0.019032 0.024670 0.031622 0.039862 0.049219 0.060547
2026-03-22 0.013564 0.018645 0.024658 0.032172 0.041182 0.051516 0.064137
2026-03-29 0.012795 0.018034 0.024331 0.032306 0.041979 0.053182 0.066983
2026-04-05 0.011981 0.017317 0.023834 0.032196 0.042452 0.054444 0.069338
2026-04-12 0.011458 0.016940 0.023731 0.032543 0.043460 0.056328 0.072425
2026-04-19 0.010858 0.016429 0.023429 0.032621 0.044118 0.057782 0.074995
2026-04-26 0.010230 0.015876 0.023080 0.032658 0.044764 0.059274 0.077688
2026-05-03 0.009645 0.015355 0.022757 0.032719 0.045440 0.060816 0.080469
2026-05-10 0.009061 0.014803 0.022364 0.032666 0.045955 0.062148 0.082988
2026-05-17 0.008524 0.014288 0.021994 0.032619 0.046458 0.063453 0.085470
2026-05-24 0.007923 0.013648 0.021428 0.032289 0.046578 0.064269 0.087339
2026-05-31 0.007296 0.012937 0.020733 0.031761 0.046418 0.064713 0.088736
2026-06-07 0.006615 0.012106 0.019840 0.030931 0.045836 0.064602 0.089419
2026-06-14 0.006425 0.012006 0.019961 0.031473 0.047051 0.066772 0.092972
2026-06-21 0.006118 0.011710 0.019791 0.031605 0.047717 0.068241 0.095643
2026-06-28 0.005759 0.011313 0.019458 0.031496 0.048052 0.069278 0.097767
2026-07-05 0.005552 0.011146 0.019453 0.031838 0.048989 0.071093 0.100887